Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.159708 0.184815 0.212546 0.245445 0.283413 0.325862 0.376933
2025-10-26 0.119820 0.153373 0.194255 0.247727 0.315844 0.399763 0.511105
2025-11-02 0.096365 0.132303 0.179178 0.244783 0.334279 0.452208 0.619646
2025-11-09 0.078736 0.114475 0.163759 0.236664 0.341840 0.488250 0.707955
2025-11-16 0.069534 0.106240 0.159357 0.241789 0.366609 0.548807 0.835618
2025-11-23 0.061387 0.098058 0.153463 0.243219 0.385146 0.601301 0.956453
2025-11-30 0.055351 0.092079 0.149800 0.247043 0.407007 0.660248 1.092898
2025-12-07 0.048589 0.083936 0.141553 0.242217 0.413993 0.695872 1.195209
2025-12-14 0.043267 0.077428 0.135049 0.239205 0.423142 0.735281 1.307267
2025-12-21 0.039722 0.073487 0.132304 0.242087 0.442323 0.793025 1.456491
2025-12-28 0.037873 0.072307 0.134146 0.253126 0.476869 0.880627 1.667844
2026-01-04 0.035595 0.070033 0.133706 0.259816 0.503987 0.957353 1.867096
2026-01-11 0.033336 0.067592 0.132798 0.265744 0.530771 1.037086 2.082728
2026-01-18 0.030859 0.064435 0.130187 0.268093 0.550939 1.106520 2.286542
2026-01-25 0.028067 0.060287 0.125137 0.264909 0.559550 1.153999 2.451159
2026-02-01 0.025045 0.055290 0.117798 0.256125 0.555554 1.175498 2.564099
2026-02-08 0.023689 0.053692 0.117299 0.261671 0.582245 1.262670 2.825466
2026-02-15 0.022111 0.051415 0.115090 0.263218 0.600361 1.333411 3.058562
2026-02-22 0.020890 0.049792 0.114115 0.267355 0.624575 1.419601 3.335186
2026-03-01 0.019082 0.046597 0.109281 0.262133 0.626875 1.457349 3.504920
2026-03-08 0.017590 0.043978 0.105476 0.258875 0.633339 1.505055 3.702959
2026-03-15 0.016649 0.042590 0.104395 0.261993 0.655299 1.590794 4.001345
2026-03-22 0.016312 0.042666 0.106819 0.273935 0.700036 1.734921 4.458430